15

Rosiliane

2yo Filly · 8-10

Naas · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Minzaal filly who finished second of 8 in barrier trial at Leopardstown last month and showed plenty to work on when fourth of 14 in maiden at Down Royal (7f, good) recently. Entitled to do better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f27y Goo 1244/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down Royal?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20264th28/10%77%+0.77