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6

Beauty Choice

9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 66

Pontefract · Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D scorer but his last success came in 2024 and was well below best when tenth of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good to firm) when last seen in May. Others are preferred.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 7f50y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 74 par20/094OR 745 @ Southwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 74 · 6f16y Std 137 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Catterick 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 73 · 5f212y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 73 par18/104OR 735 @ Southwell 21/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 74 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Wolverhampton 20/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 73 · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 73 par20/124OR 735 @ Wolverhampton 19/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 72 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 71 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark06/03/2026 · OR 71 par6/035OR 714 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 70 · 7f6y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 68 · 6f6y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 68 par17/054OR 68projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Hamilton410th9th+1
2026-03-29Doncaster413th12th+1
2026-03-06Newcastle54th4th0
2026-01-19Wolverhampton54th4th0
2025-12-20Wolverhampton410th9th+1
2025-11-21Southwell57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0921/116/0317/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20254th33/10%70%+0.70
03/10/20254th17/255%75%+0.20
18/10/20252nd9/276%89%+0.13
21/11/20257th40/10%50%+0.50
20/12/202510th25/10%18%+0.18
19/01/20264th16/116%63%+0.47
06/03/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
29/03/202613th14/126%20%-0.06
17/05/202610th33/10%25%+0.25