7

Good Karma

6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 61

Pontefract · Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In excellent form since fitted with cheekpieces and scored at Wolverhampton (7f) in June. Forced strong gallop for a long way when a close third of 9 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to soft) 12 days ago. A bold showing is on the cards from an unchanged mark here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 03/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark03/03/2026 · OR 58 par3/036OR 586 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Thirsk 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 59 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 59 par10/046OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 6f20y Std 130 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 58 · 7f36y Std 133 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 58 par1/066OR 586 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 60 · 6f195y Goo 130 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 7f6y GF 137 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 62 par22/076OR 626 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 5f212y Goo 136 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 62 par4 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 61 par5/094OR 61projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk43rd2nd+1
2026-08-17Catterick64th5th1
2026-07-22Catterick63rd4th1
2026-06-15Carlisle62nd3rd1
2026-06-01Wolverhampton61st2nd1
2026-04-17Wolverhampton64th5th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0317/0422/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/03/20263rd6/168%80%+0.12
17/03/20262nd7/163%89%+0.26
10/04/20267th10/382%54%-0.29
17/04/20264th3/184%57%-0.27
01/06/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
15/06/20262nd6/168%86%+0.17
22/07/20263rd7/282%71%-0.10
17/08/20264th9/276%63%-0.14
05/09/20263rd40/10%75%+0.75