7

Good Karma
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 61
Pontefract · Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 10/04/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 54% | -0.29 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |