10
One Of Our Own
6yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 58
Pontefract · Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |