11
Profiteer
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 55
Pontefract · Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 6 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Pontefract | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Nottingham | 2 | 11th | 7th | +3 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/10/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 23% | +0.07 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/11/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |