6

What A Girl Wants

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77

Pontefract · Safe Point Sprint Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

89%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't progressed/looked entirely straightforward since a promising start in Ireland in the spring. Finished 4¼-length third in first-time hood on all-weather bow at Newcastle latest. Still has the best form on offer, though, and could be worth another chance on just second start for current yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f Sft 12619/04C?1 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS4/051C0 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 12617/05C?1 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 21st of 25 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/0611 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 88 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 88 par25/061OR 884 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 84 par13/084OR 844 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 81 · 5f Std 128 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 81 par3/094OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle43rd3rd0
2026-08-13Beverley44th4th0
2026-06-25Newmarket14th0th+3
2026-06-19Royal Ascot121th17th+3
2026-05-17Naas?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Curragh12nd-2th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0419/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20263rd7/163%60%-0.03
04/05/20262nd4/179%67%-0.12
17/05/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
19/06/202621st66/10%17%+0.17
25/06/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
13/08/20264th5/696%40%-0.56
03/09/20263rd12/137%67%+0.30