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5

Traveling Man

3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 75

Pontefract · Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 5y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-bred type who has benefited from the step up to 1½m in handicaps. Had a bit to spare taking on his elders for the first time when comfortably off the mark at Newmarket 4 weeks ago. Remains low-mileage and appeals as the type who will have more to offer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f201y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0633 @ Redcar 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f1y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS19/0633 @ Yarmouth 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m2f23y GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS8/0735 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m4f5y Goo 130 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 70 par25/075OR 705 @ Newmarket 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 1m4f Goo 130 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 70 par20/085OR 70projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Newmarket51st2nd−1
2026-07-25Salisbury53rd4th−1
2026-07-08Yarmouth36th5th+1
2026-06-19Redcar33rd2nd+1
2026-06-09Salisbury39th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0619/068/0725/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20269th8/158%11%-0.47
19/06/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60
08/07/20266th80/10%0%0.00
25/07/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
20/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16