3
Devil's Brigade
3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 74
Pontefract · Nadeen Dawson Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 6y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-10-16 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -15.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.66 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |