6
Freddie Steady Go
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 79
Pontefract · Matty Bown Handicap · 1m 6y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Newcastle | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 15/01/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 150/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |