Milteye
6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82
Pontefract · Matty Bown Handicap · 1m 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Ripon | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 22th | 20th | +2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/03/2026 | 22nd | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |