2

Walsingham

6yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 82

Pontefract · Matty Bown Handicap · 1m 6y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Notched a third C&D success in April. Not seen to best effect from a poor draw when eighth of 11 in handicap at Beverley (8.5f, heavy) 18 days ago. Now 2 lb below his last winning mark so not without interest, especially if the market vibes are positive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength58%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 84 · 1m Hvy 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 84 par25/103OR 844 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m GS 140 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 84 · 1m6y Goo 134 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 84 par29/044OR 842 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 88 · 7f192y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 88 · 1m113y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 88 par5/062OR 883 @ Ayr 05/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m Gd 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 87 par2 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 87 · 1m Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 87 par31/072OR 874 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 85 · 1m Goo 135 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 85 par4 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 84 · 1m100y Hvy 134 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 84 par30/084OR 84projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley48th8th0
2026-08-08Ayr47th7th0
2026-07-31Goodwood25th3rd+2
2026-07-05Ayr310th9th+1
2026-06-05Epsom Downs28th6th+2
2026-05-14York212th10th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1014/0531/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/202513th16/116%8%-0.08
16/04/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
29/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
14/05/202612th18/15%35%+0.30
05/06/20268th50/10%59%+0.59
05/07/202610th17/255%0%-0.55
31/07/20265th100/10%76%+0.76
08/08/20267th4/179%33%-0.46
30/08/20268th11/271%30%-0.41