Digger One
5yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 72
Pontefract · Donate To New Beginnings Horses At nbhorses.org.uk Handicap · 2m 1f 27y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kempton | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Chepstow | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 21/11/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |