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2

No More Bolero

7yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 72

Pontefract · Donate To New Beginnings Horses At nbhorses.org.uk Handicap · 2m 1f 27y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful on the level at Bath (17f) in the spring and continued in good form over hurdles in recent months, landing back-to-back handicaps at around 2m. Performed well in finishing placed on each of his last 2 starts and this in-form sort is respected back on the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Sedgefield 05/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 84 · 2m178y Sft 161 · beat its mark05/12/2025 · OR 84 par5/125OR 845 @ Bath 17/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 2m1f24y Goo 129 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Ripon 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 73 · 2m Goo 143 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 73 par25/045OR 735 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 2m Goo 140 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m6f Gd 135 · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 73 par5/065OR 735 @ Worcester 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 96 · 2m Gd 165 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 96 par4 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 100 · 2m125y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 100 par18/074OR 1005 @ Market Rasen 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 104 · 2m2f140y Gd 168 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 104 par4 @ Fontwell 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 107 · 2m3f29y Gd 161 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 107 par6/094OR 107projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Fontwell43rd2nd+1
2026-08-15Market Rasen52nd2nd0
2026-07-18Market Rasen41st0th+1
2026-06-17Worcester51st1st0
2026-06-05Bath56th6th0
2026-05-17Ripon56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1217/0518/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength56%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20253rd6/168%60%-0.08
17/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
25/04/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07
17/05/20266th11/486%0%-0.86
05/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
17/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
18/07/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
15/08/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
06/09/20263rd6/492%50%-0.42