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Port George

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 71

Pontefract · Donate To New Beginnings Horses At nbhorses.org.uk Handicap · 2m 1f 27y

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form on second of 3 starts in novice/maidens and caused a surprise after 11 months off when making second start in handicaps a winning one at Thirsk (1¾m) in July. Remains unexposed over marathon trips but that form has hardly proved the most robust and this rates tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Goo 13124/0455 @ Windsor 24/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m3f99y Gd 12524/0554 @ Lingfield 22/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f133y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS22/0745 @ Southwell 02/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 70 · 1m4f15y Std 131 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 70 par2/095OR 705 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 67 · 1m6f Goo 135 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 67 par24/075OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Thirsk51st1st0
2025-09-02Southwell56th6th0
2025-07-22Lingfield47th6th+1
2025-05-24Windsor52nd2nd0
2025-04-24Beverley57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0424/0522/072/0924/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
24/05/20252nd50/10%88%+0.88
22/07/20257th20/10%0%0.00
02/09/20256th40/10%17%+0.17
24/07/20261st33/10%100%+1.00