Distinction
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 54
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 21/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |