Kartini
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 60
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Newcastle | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 07/11/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |