7
Rory's Gold
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 56
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Ayr | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Carlisle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 16/05/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 09/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |