Skinny Malinka
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 58
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2024-12-17 | Catterick | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2024-10-25 | Doncaster | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Redcar | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-09-18 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 13/08/2024 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 03/09/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 18/09/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 05/10/2024 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 25/10/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 08/06/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |