Sunny Orange
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 58
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Pontefract | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 72% | +0.20 |