Thunder Goddess
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 59
Pontefract · Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-23 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |