4
Coffee Cream
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 62
Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 9.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Remington Park | ? | 11th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/02/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |