7
The Birdman
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 49
Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lone Star | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 57% | -0.33 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |