6

West Azteca

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 29

Remington Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength53%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Will Rogers Downs 14/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS14/04C6C9 @ Will Rogers Downs 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12027/04C9projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-27Will Rogers Downs?5th5th0
2026-04-14Will Rogers Downs?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0427/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
27/04/20265th16/116%43%+0.27