Coastal Brink
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Remington Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Lone Star | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-17 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 02/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 17/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |