Down The Islands
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 88
Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Remington Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |