7

Wild Jewels

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87

Remington Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Golden Gate Fields 12/11/2023 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2023 · OR 90 par12/11C5OR 90C5 @ Golden Gate Fields 02/12/2023 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/12/2023 · OR 90 parC5 @ Santa Anita 13/01/2024 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/01/2024 · OR 88 par13/01C5OR 88C5 @ Golden Gate Fields 11/02/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 88 · 1m1f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/02/2024 · OR 88 parC6 @ Golden Gate Fields 22/03/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/03/2024 · OR 80 par22/03C6OR 80C6 @ Santa Anita 20/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Lone Star 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 78 par14/06C8OR 78C8 @ Lone Star 05/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 85 parC8 @ Remington Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 87 · 5f 120 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 87 par5/09C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Remington Park?3rd3rd0
2026-07-05Lone Star?8th8th0
2026-06-14Lone Star?6th6th0
2026-03-20Santa Anita?9th7th+2
2024-03-22Golden Gate Fields?2nd0th+2
2024-02-11Golden Gate Fields?8th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1111/0214/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/11/20231st8/1196%100%+0.04
02/12/20231st8/1597%100%+0.03
13/01/20245th3/184%0%-0.84
11/02/20248th10/147%0%-0.47
22/03/20242nd11/486%80%-0.06
20/03/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
14/06/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
05/07/20268th20/10%22%+0.22
05/09/20263rd11/271%50%-0.21