Boutblummintime
2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 61
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 2 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Hamilton | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |