IvyArcIvyArc
5

Classyfied

2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 62

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seemingly brought along with nurseries in mind and now open to improvement switched to all-weather and upped to 6f. Worth keeping an eye on in the betting.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength86%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 13/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0844 @ Musselburgh 24/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f1y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0844 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f7y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton44th2nd+2
2026-08-24Musselburgh44th2nd+2
2026-08-13Beverley45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0824/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
24/08/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
02/09/20264th16/116%50%+0.34