Sable Island
2yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 61
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Bath | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |