Secret Rival
2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Newbury | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |