Stoney Wood
2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 63
Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |