1

Wopbopaloomop

2yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 61

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery · 6f 16y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

69%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved a different proposition when winning a 14-runner nursery over 6f at Windsor 10 days ago after a 4-month break. Found plenty for pressure for that success and holds strong claims under a penalty if proving as effective back on all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS20/0454 @ Southwell 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0444 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS16/0546 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 61 · 6f12y Goo 131 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 61 par7/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor61st1st0
2026-05-16Doncaster46th4th+2
2026-04-29Southwell44th2nd+2
2026-04-20Redcar56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0429/0416/057/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +31.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20266th7/491%38%-0.53
29/04/20264th7/163%57%-0.06
16/05/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
07/09/20261st8/158%100%+0.42