5

Cool Doc Boy

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 65

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 6f 16y

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who finished runner-up on debut but went with no encouragement when down the field in 10-runner novice at Wolverhampton (6f) in June. Sold out of Jamie Osborne's yard for only 1,000 gns ahead of this switch to handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength57%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 19/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS19/1155 @ Wolverhampton 24/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 6f20y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/1155 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f20y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS17/0455 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 71 · 6f20y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 71 par2/065OR 71projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-02Wolverhampton59th8th+1
2026-04-17Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2025-11-24Wolverhampton57th6th+1
2025-11-19Kempton52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1124/1117/042/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -3.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/11/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
24/11/20257th5/493%50%-0.43
17/04/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
02/06/20269th14/126%11%-0.15