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3

Von Krolock

7yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 63

Southwell · Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap · 6f 16y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

All the better for a recent run when winning 8-runner all-weather handicap (6/1) at Lingfield (6f) 30 days ago, drawing clear final 1f. Hit with 7 lb rise but still warrants respect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 04/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f16y Std 132 · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 52 par4/016OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 51 par23/026OR 516 @ Southwell 11/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 51 · 7f14y Std 130 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 51 · 7f36y Std 121 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 51 par17/036OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 57 par25/046OR 576 @ Leicester 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 56 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 56 par18/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-29Leicester62nd2nd0
2026-04-25Leicester66th6th0
2026-04-06Wolverhampton61st1st0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-03-11Southwell62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0111/0325/0418/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/01/20267th9/276%25%-0.51
06/02/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
23/02/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
11/03/20262nd11/142%88%+0.45
17/03/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
06/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/04/20266th10/382%44%-0.38
29/07/20262nd11/271%67%-0.04
18/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32