New York Minute
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 83
Southwell · attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m 102y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Newcastle | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |