7

Five Star George

2yo Colt · 9-4

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 7f 14y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 50/1 and offered little when down the field in 6f maiden at Thirsk (good) on debut 34 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13314/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Thirsk410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/202610th50/10%10%+0.10