Mad Jack

2yo Colt · 9-7

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 7f 14y

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼2

Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C2.5

Today: 4

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-03	Salisbury	3	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-08-15	Ripon	2	8th	6th	+2	4.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -29.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
15/08/2026	8th	28/1	0%	42%	+0.42
03/09/2026	8th	150/1	0%	13%	+0.13