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Storm Force Ten

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) · 7f 14y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut well behind when third of 12 in 6f novice (80/1) at Salisbury in August and ran to a similar level when fifth of 7 at Ascot (6f, good) 13 days ago, staying on to be nearest at the finish. Step back up to 7f will suit and remains capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 10/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13310/0845 @ Salisbury 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 13021/0852 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS4/092projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot25th3rd+2
2026-08-21Salisbury53rd4th−1
2026-08-10Kempton412th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0821/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +35.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/202612th12/137%0%-0.37
21/08/20263rd80/10%82%+0.82
04/09/20265th28/10%33%+0.33