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Don't Stop Movin

2yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 75

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 7f 14y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed up well when second in Redcar maidens, notably when beaten less than a length by a useful prospect last time. Return to this trip should suit on pedigree so expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Redcar 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS18/0534 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f50y Gd 1336/0745 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 13022/085projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Redcar52nd3rd−1
2026-07-06Ayr46th6th0
2026-05-18Redcar32nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/056/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -33.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20262nd16/116%83%+0.68
06/07/20266th4/179%44%-0.35
22/08/20262nd2/189%91%+0.01