3

Otis Bay

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 7f 14y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

€32,000 yearling, Sottsass gelding. Half-brother to useful 7f winner Rajindri and 1m winner Rhodreego. Dam unraced half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Marbaan. Green and never better than mid-field in Epsom novice.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f3y GF 13030/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Epsom Downs47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20267th12/137%25%-0.12