5

Threeoclockflyer

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 7f 14y

#5

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Timeform

Commentary

Showed little both starts. Headgear on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f50y Gd 1336/0744 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f15y Gd 13325/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Musselburgh410th10th0
2026-07-06Ayr49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
25/08/202610th40/10%0%0.00