IvyArcIvyArc
10

Tiggywinkle

2yo Filly · 8-13

Southwell · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) · 7f 14y

#6

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★ Timeform

Commentary

Harry Angel filly who failed to settle when down the field both starts and step up in trip unlikely to suit at this stage.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Doncaster 01/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f111y GF 1281/0845 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Goo 12512/085projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Beverley59th10th−1
2026-08-01Doncaster410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0812/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
12/08/20269th12/137%11%-0.26