3
Roi De Coeur
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 72
Southwell · Free Bets On attheraces.com Selling Handicap · 1m 13y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 69% | -0.20 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |