Ceinture D'orion
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 63
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 13y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Nottingham | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 3 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 3 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 22/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |