8

Gladiadora

5yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 61

Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 13y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Two 7f/1m all-weather wins since joining Charlie Clover and largely acquitted himself well in defeat more recently. Needs to bounce back from a below-par effort at Wolverhampton, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m Std 135 · beat its mark02/01/2026 · OR 60 par2/016OR 606 @ Southwell 28/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 60 · 7f15y Std 135 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 62 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 62 par8/046OR 626 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 134 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Yarmouth 13/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m3y Gd 134 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 64 par13/056OR 645 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Kempton 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Sta 132 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 62 par8/076OR 626 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m31y GF 140 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m142y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 62 par18/085OR 62projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2026-07-20Windsor64th4th0
2026-07-08Kempton62nd2nd0
2026-06-20Newmarket54th3rd+1
2026-05-13Yarmouth68th8th0
2026-04-27Lingfield64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0127/048/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength10%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20264th18/581%63%-0.19
28/03/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
08/04/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22
27/04/20264th6/492%67%-0.25
13/05/20268th16/583%22%-0.61
20/06/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
08/07/20262nd11/486%89%+0.03
20/07/20264th2/189%50%-0.39
18/08/20266th9/276%38%-0.39