2

No Knee Never

5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 65

Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 13y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Three alI-weather wins earlier in the year but been more miss than hit since. Visor on first time. Others more convincing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ripon 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 66 · 1m1f170y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 66 par8/055OR 665 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m6y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 71 · 1m2f50y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 71 par3/065OR 713 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m3f188y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 71 par4 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 70 · 1m2f56y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 70 par27/064OR 705 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m75y Goo 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 69 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 69 par21/075OR 695 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 69 · 1m1f207y Goo 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m1f170y Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 68 par1/095OR 68projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon56th5th+1
2026-08-12Beverley56th5th+1
2026-07-21Wolverhampton510th9th+1
2026-07-18Nottingham53rd2nd+1
2026-06-27York413th11th+2
2026-06-13York35th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0513/0621/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20264th11/142%73%+0.31
22/05/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
03/06/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
13/06/20265th18/15%50%+0.45
27/06/202613th13/266%8%-0.58
18/07/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
21/07/202610th9/276%25%-0.51
12/08/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
01/09/20266th16/116%17%+0.01