4
Nordic Norm
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 64
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 13y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength85%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Chester | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 10/10/2025 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/12/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |