Sailor's Return
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64
Southwell · Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 13y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 44% | +0.02 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |