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4

Beach Partee

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54

Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 4f 214y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times as a juvenile. Yet to score as a 3-y-o but arrives on the back of a couple of solid placed efforts, latest when creditable third of 6 in handicap at Brighton (5f, good, 5/2) 16 days ago. One of likelier contenders.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f160y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 63 par22/055OR 635 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 61 · 5f GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 59 · 6f20y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 59 par16/065OR 596 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f2y GF 129 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Bath 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f10y Fm 132 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 57 par15/076OR 576 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 56 · 5f215y Goo 130 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 56 · 6f12y GF 129 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 56 par13/086OR 566 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 56 · 6f12y Goo 127 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 56 par5 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 56 · 5f60y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 56 par1/095OR 56projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton53rd2nd+1
2026-08-24Windsor63rd3rd0
2026-08-13Windsor68th8th0
2026-08-05Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-07-15Bath64th4th0
2026-06-26Doncaster64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0526/0613/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
04/06/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
16/06/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
26/06/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
15/07/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
05/08/20262nd13/266%75%+0.09
13/08/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
24/08/20263rd28/10%75%+0.75
01/09/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27