8
Mademoiselle Belle
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 49
Southwell · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 4f 214y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Salisbury | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 13/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/08/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |